Lakesha Womack Leans Ahead in North Carolina's NC-14 Race
Source: Polymarket market “NC-14 House Election Winner”
Lakesha Womack (D): very likely (96%)
Leading outcome
Lakesha Womack (D) 96%
Very likely · B
venues disagree 11.7pp
24h move
▲
75.6 pts
Lakesha Womack (D)
Traded 24h
$31K
$81K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Today
Source markets
117
117 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Lakesha Womack (D)
96%
▲
75.6
Tim Moore (R)
4%
▼
76.5
Source markets for this story
Who will control the House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 100% · +6.3 24h
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 99% · +25.4 24h
Who will control the Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 100% · +24.7 24h
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
Polymarket · None 80% · +44.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 100% · +5.3 24h
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 98% · +18.6 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 99% · +22.9 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 100% · +25.0 24h
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 90% · +18.1 24h
Iowa Senate winner?
Kalshi · Josh Turek 96% · +43.1 24h
Ohio Senate winner?
Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 97% · +24.8 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · Above 52 97% · +41.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 45 65% · +52.0 24h
Nebraska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 91% · +22.7 24h
Mississippi Senate winner?
Kalshi · Cindy Hyde-Smith 88% · +4.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 97% · +16.7 24h
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Adam Hamilton 99% · +34.9 24h
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 96% · +5.4 24h
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Polymarket · November 2 100% · +67.4 24h
Blue wave in 2026?
Kalshi · Yes 100% · +11.6 24h
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 100% · +6.7 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · James Talarico, 0.5+ pts 99% · +29.0 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Annie Andrews (D) 100% · +68.5 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Kalshi · 55 77% · +64.0 24h
TX-23 House winner?
Kalshi · Katy Padilla Stout 89% · +45.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 96% · +18.0 24h
Louisiana Senate winner?
Kalshi · Julia Letlow 94% · +8.1 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · ≤47 98% · +41.7 24h
Maine Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 90% · +17.0 24h
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi · Democrats, 14 to 16% 54% · +46.1 24h
Florida Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Ashley Moody (R) 100% · +13.5 24h
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 89% · +18.5 24h
Alaska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Democratic party 87% · +16.0 24h
NY-17 House winner?
Kalshi · Cait Conley 73% · +17.0 24h
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 86% · +0.8 24h
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Josh Turek (D) 96% · +44.9 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Adam Hamilton (D) 99% · +37.2 24h
Montana Senate winner?
Kalshi · Kurt Alme 94% · +3.4 24h
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 97% · +24.7 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
Kalshi · At least 46 99%
Closest Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi · Mississippi 65% · +61.0 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 97% · +4.1 24h
VA-05 House winner?
Kalshi · John McGuire 68% · +5.0 24h
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Mary Peltola (D) 84% · +12.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 92% · +20.0 24h
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Chris Pappas (D) 100% · +4.5 24h
Texas Governor margin of victory
Kalshi · Abbott, 3.5+ pts 17% · -23.0 24h
NC-03 House winner?
Kalshi · Greg Murphy 61% · +1.0 24h
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Julia Letlow (R) 95% · +8.6 24h
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Jon Ossoff (D) 100% · +2.9 24h
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
Kalshi · Yes 94% · +60.0 24h
Montana Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Kurt Alme (R) 96% · +4.0 24h
TN-09 House winner?
Kalshi · Justin J. Pearson 67% · +50.0 24h
NC-13 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Paul Barringer (D) 98% · +65.0 24h
Blue wave in 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 99% · +7.8 24h
NV-02 House winner?
Kalshi · Teresa Benitez-Thompson 78% · +42.0 24h
NC-03 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Greg Murphy (R) 57% · -2.8 24h
OH-10 House winner?
Kalshi · Kristina Knickerbocker 93% · +60.8 24h
NC-14 House winner?
Kalshi · LaKesha Womack 97% · +75.0 24h
FL-09 House winner?
Kalshi · Darren Soto 93% · +54.0 24h
TX-23 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Katy Padilla Stout (D) 88% · +42.5 24h
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Talarico 9-12% 42% · +36.0 24h
FL-27 House winner?
Kalshi · Maria Elvira Salazar 93% · +32.2 24h
IN-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket · J. D. Ford (D) 99% · +76.6 24h
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
Polymarket · 45 74% · +62.9 24h
AL-02 House winner?
Kalshi · Shomari Figures 95% · +45.8 24h
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2027 33% · +4.0 24h
Maine Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · Jackson, 0.5+ pts 85% · +14.0 24h
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
Kalshi · Yes 90% · +26.0 24h
MT-01 House winner?
Kalshi · Sam Forstag 80% · +22.0 24h
MO-02 House winner?
Kalshi · Fred Wellman 87% · +48.0 24h
CO-04 House winner?
Kalshi · Eileen Laubacher 92% · +58.9 24h
NJ-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Zack Mullock (D) 96% · +65.0 24h
CO-03 House winner?
Kalshi · Dwayne Romero 67% · +29.0 24h
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · Graham, 3.5+ pts 10% · -32.1 24h
NY-17 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Cait Conley (D) 69% · +10.5 24h
SC-01 House winner?
Kalshi · Nancy S. Lacore 85% · +36.0 24h
NC-09 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Richard Ojeda (D) 98% · +64.1 24h
VA-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket · John McGuire (R) 72% · +10.0 24h
KY-06 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Zach Dembo (D) 99% · +43.5 24h
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · Below 190 98% · +55.0 24h
FL-13 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Anna Paulina Luna (R) 99% · +34.6 24h
Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
Polymarket · Dems sweep 92% · +30.0 24h
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Andy Barr (R) 100% · +3.5 24h
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Democrats 14-16% 54% · +45.7 24h
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
Polymarket · ≤46 and ≤192 93% · +57.8 24h
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Ed Markey (D) 100% · +0.7 24h
FL-09 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Darren Soto (D) 94% · +56.0 24h
FL-27 House Election Winner
Polymarket · María Elvira Salazar (R) 96% · +37.0 24h
VA-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Shannon Taylor (D) 98% · +31.4 24h
AL-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Shomari Figures (D) 94% · +43.0 24h
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Tom Cotton (R) 99% · +2.9 24h
NC-11 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Jamie Ager (D) 98% · +11.7 24h
ME-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Paul LePage (R) 62% · +3.5 24h
FL-22 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Pia Dandiya (D) 100% · +24.9 24h
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Jim Risch (R) 98% · +0.9 24h
OK-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Stephanie Bice (R) 62% · -21.4 24h
FL-07 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Ryan Elijah (R) 98% · +35.5 24h
PA-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Bob Harvie (D) 94% · +29.0 24h
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 100% · +30.3 24h
OH-10 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Kristina Knickerbocker (D) 93% · +63.5 24h
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 88% · +48.5 24h
NV-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) 78% · +43.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · El-Sayed 3-6% 36% · +15.0 24h
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Moody 3-6% 62% · +42.0 24h
SC-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Nancy Lacore (D) 84% · +36.5 24h
TN-09 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Justin Pearson (D) 60% · +43.0 24h
FL-14 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Kathy Castor (D) 100% · +22.4 24h
CO-03 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Dwayne Romero (D) 64% · +24.5 24h
NC-14 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Lakesha Womack (D) 96% · +75.6 24h
AP calls the House by...?
Polymarket · November 15, 11:59 PM 100% · +5.8 24h
AR-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · French Hill (R) 81% · +7.0 24h
MO-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Fred Wellman (D) 86% · +44.5 24h
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Brown 3-6% 55% · +31.5 24h
FL-25 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Jared Moskowitz (D) 100% · +17.4 24h
VA-06 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Ben Cline (R) 99% · +4.9 24h
KS-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Derek Schmidt (R) 94% · +15.0 24h
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