U.S.Mark Lamb (R) on track to win

Mark Lamb Is Very Likely to Win the AZ-05 House Seat

Source: Polymarket market “AZ-05 House Election Winner”

Mark Lamb (R): very likely (96%)
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Leading outcome Mark Lamb (R) 96% Very likely · B venues disagree 41.9pp
24h move ▲ 6.7 pts Mark Lamb (R)
Traded 24h $31K $76K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04 Today
Source markets 48 48 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Mark Lamb (R) 96% ▲ 6.7
Elizabeth Lee (D) 4% ▼ 7.0

Source markets for this story

NC-03 House winner? Kalshi · Raymond Smith Jr. 52% · +10.0 24h
VA-05 House winner? Kalshi · John McGuire 96% · +38.9 24h
NC-03 House Election Winner Polymarket · Raymond Smith Jr. (D) 53% · +10.7 24h
NC-05 House winner? Kalshi · Chuck Hubbard 93% · +76.7 24h
CO-03 House winner? Kalshi · Jeff Hurd 87% · +36.0 24h
MN-01 House winner? Kalshi · Jake Johnson 92% · +51.2 24h
NV-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) 98% · +63.2 24h
NC-13 House Election Winner Polymarket · Paul Barringer (D) 99% · +65.5 24h
NY-01 House winner? Kalshi · Nick LaLota 96% · +14.0 24h
CA-07 House winner? Kalshi · Doris Matsui 95% · +17.0 24h
Alaska House winner? Kalshi · Nick Begich III 88% · +7.0 24h
WA-05 House winner? Kalshi · Michael Baumgartner 80% · +2.0 24h
VA-05 House Election Winner Polymarket · John McGuire (R) 94% · +38.7 24h
NC-09 House Election Winner Polymarket · Richard Ojeda (D) 100% · +65.5 24h
NJ-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Zack Mullock (D) 99% · +54.9 24h
AZ-08 House winner? Kalshi · Abe Hamadeh 94% · +5.4 24h
TN-09 House Election Winner Polymarket · Brent Taylor (R) 99% · +20.8 24h
CO-03 House Election Winner Polymarket · Jeff Hurd (R) 85% · +34.9 24h
FL-13 House Election Winner Polymarket · Anna Paulina Luna (R) 99% · +23.9 24h
VA-01 House Election Winner Polymarket · Shannon Taylor (D) 100% · +17.9 24h
SC-01 House Election Winner Polymarket · Nancy Lacore (D) 98% · +51.7 24h
FL-09 House Election Winner Polymarket · Darren Soto (D) 99% · +60.2 24h
AZ-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Jonathan Nez (D) 70% · +24.5 24h
ME-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Paul LePage (R) 89% · +28.9 24h
OK-05 House Election Winner Polymarket · Stephanie Bice (R) 97% · +10.2 24h
FL-27 House Election Winner Polymarket · María Elvira Salazar (R) 98% · +33.7 24h
MI-04 House Election Winner Polymarket · Sean McCann (D) 99% · +39.5 24h
AR-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · French Hill (R) 99% · +25.5 24h
OH-10 House Election Winner Polymarket · Kristina Knickerbocker (D) 99% · +69.2 24h
FL-07 House Election Winner Polymarket · Ryan Elijah (R) 98% · +32.1 24h
NC-05 House Election Winner Polymarket · Chuck Hubbard (D) 92% · +77.0 24h
NC-14 House Election Winner Polymarket · Lakesha Womack (D) 99% · +78.2 24h
MI-07 House Election Winner Polymarket · William Lawrence (D) 100% · +22.4 24h
AZ-05 House Election Winner Polymarket · Mark Lamb (R) 96% · +6.7 24h
NY-21 House Election Winner Polymarket · Anthony Constantino (R) 98% · +26.7 24h
NC-06 House Election Winner Polymarket · Cyril Jefferson (D) 100% · +86.0 24h
CO-04 House Election Winner Polymarket · Eileen Laubacher (D) 98% · +65.5 24h
FL-26 House Election Winner Polymarket · Mario Díaz-Balart (R) 96% · +10.5 24h
NY-01 House Election Winner Polymarket · Nick LaLota (R) 95% · +15.3 24h
TX-27 House Election Winner Polymarket · Michael Cloud (R) 100% · +2.4 24h
NC-01 House Election Winner Polymarket · Don Davis (D) 100% · +13.0 24h
TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory Polymarket · Republican 0-3% 40% · +27.4 24h
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election? Polymarket · Yes 100% · +25.1 24h
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election? Polymarket · Yes 100% · +40.2 24h
WA-05 House Election Winner Polymarket · Michael Baumgartner (R) 84% · +7.0 24h
CA-38 House Election Margin of Victory Polymarket · Democrat 0-5% 50% · +2.0 24h
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