Maduro's Chances of Escaping Prison Narrow Sharply
Source: Polymarket market “Maduro Prison Time?”
No prison time: leaning yes (58%)
Leading outcome
No prison time 58%
Leaning yes · Rising · C · tracked 19 days
peak 60% · low 42% (18d ago)
venues disagree 30.5pp
24h move
▼
12.5 pts
No prison time
Traded 24h
$54K
$793K all time
Resolves by
2027-12-31
Source markets
3
3 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
No prison time
58%
▼
12.5
60+
28%
▲
15.5
<20
11%
▲
2.9
40–60
2%
▲
0.6
20–40
2%
▲
0.9
Source markets for this story
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Polymarket · Delcy Rodríguez 50% · -3.0 24h
Maduro Prison Time?
Polymarket · No prison time 58% · -12.5 24h
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Kalshi · Nicolás Maduro 67% · +6.0 24h
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