Finance

US Unemployment Hitting 5% in 2026 Is Very Unlikely

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “How high will US unemployment go in 2026?”

very unlikely (4%)
Leading outcome 5.0% 4% Very unlikely · D
24h move 0.2 pts 5.0%
Traded 24h $18K $543K all time
Resolves by 2027-04-01

Where the money stands

5.0% 4% 0.2
5.5% 2% 0.1
7.0% 1% ▼ 1.6
10.0% 0% ▼ 2.9
6.0% 0% ▼ 1.7
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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unlikely (12%)

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