Finance

An AI Model Will Very Likely Hit a Chatbot Arena Score of 1520 This Year

Source: Polymarket market “Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?”

very likely (94%)
Leading outcome ↑ 1520 94% Very likely · B
24h move 0.4 pts ↑ 1520
Traded 24h $11K $170K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 9 9 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

↑ 1520 94% 0.4
↑ 1530 42% ▲ 9.0
↑ 1540 26% ▲ 16.2
↑ 1550 16% ▲ 3.0
↑ 1600 6% 0.0
↑ 1650 6% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Which company has the best AI model end of September? Polymarket · Anthropic 80% · -10.0 24h
Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Claude 61% · -3.3 24h
Best AI in Sep 2026? Kalshi · Claude 78% · -14.0 24h
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 66% · -4.5 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of October? Polymarket · Anthropic 72% · -10.5 24h
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September? Polymarket · Anthropic 83% · -8.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page