An AI Model Will Very Likely Hit a Chatbot Arena Score of 1520 This Year
Source: Polymarket market “Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?”
very likely (94%)
Leading outcome
↑ 1520 94%
Very likely · B
24h move
0.4 pts
↑ 1520
Traded 24h
$11K
$170K all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
9
9 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
↑ 1520
94%
0.4
↑ 1530
42%
▲
9.0
↑ 1540
26%
▲
16.2
↑ 1550
16%
▲
3.0
↑ 1600
6%
0.0
↑ 1650
6%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Polymarket · Anthropic 80% · -10.0 24h
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Kalshi · Claude 61% · -3.3 24h
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Kalshi · Claude 78% · -14.0 24h
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Polymarket · Anthropic 66% · -4.5 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Polymarket · Anthropic 72% · -10.5 24h
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Polymarket · 1520 86% · -10.3 24h
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
Polymarket · Anthropic 81% · -8.0 24h
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
Polymarket · Anthropic 83% · -8.5 24h
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
Polymarket · ↑ 1520 94%
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