World

Ukraine Remains Politically Stable Through Year-End

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Ukraine coup attempt by...?”

very unlikely (6%)
Leading outcome December 31 6% Very unlikely · C
24h move 0.0 pts December 31
Traded 24h $45K $169K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
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World

US-Iran Talks Are Likely Headed for a Dead End Before August

unlikely (18%)

The window for a negotiated extension is closing fast — and without it, a final deal this year looks equally remote at 18%. The ceasefire holds, but the diplomatic machinery is seizing up, leaving both sides positioned for confrontation rather than compromise.

Updated 7:47 PM ET ▼ down overnight
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traded today $158K markets read 21 venue Polymarket grade B resolves in 5 days
World

Israel Is Likely Staying Beyond the Litani Through Year-End

very unlikely (10%)

A ceasefire condition is becoming a permanent feature of the landscape — with withdrawal odds collapsing to near-single digits, the Litani line is hardening into a de facto Israeli frontier, not a temporary buffer.

Updated 12:35 AM ET ▼ down overnight
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traded today $25K venue Polymarket grade C trending in today's news
World leaning Gadi Eizenkot

Eizenkot Edges Ahead in Israel's Post-Election Leadership Race

Gadi Eizenkot: leaning yes (55%)

A leadership transition in Israel increasingly runs through the center-left — Netanyahu's grip on the post-war political order is loosening, with his odds falling as Eizenkot consolidates a narrow but real advantage in a high-attention, high-stakes succession contest.

Updated 3:46 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $47K venue Polymarket grade C trending in today's news