World

Paris's Curfew Is All but Certain to Be Lifted by November 30

Source: Polymarket market “Paris curfew effectively lifted by...?”

virtually certain (98%)
Leading outcome November 30 98% Virtually certain · C venues disagree 6.5pp
24h move ▼ 0.9 pts November 30
Traded 24h $24K $63K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-30
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

November 30 98% ▼ 0.9
November 7 90% ▼ 3.5
October 31 66% ▼ 8.5

Source markets for this story

France declares state of emergency by...? Polymarket · December 31 10% · +1.0 24h
Next French Presidential Election Polymarket · Marine Le Pen 44%
Next French presidential election winner? Kalshi · Marine Le Pen 50% · +1.0 24h
Paris curfew effectively lifted by...? Polymarket · November 30 98% · -0.9 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page