World

France Is Not Headed for Martial Law

Source: Polymarket market “France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?”

very unlikely (4%)
Leading outcome December 31 4% Very unlikely · B
24h move 0.0 pts December 31
Traded 24h $86K $86K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 5 3/5 markets agree

Where the money stands

December 31 4% 0.0
November 15 3% 0.0
October 31 1% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Paris curfew announced by...? Polymarket · October 31 8% · -3.5 24h
Macron out by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 4%
France declares state of emergency by...? Polymarket · December 31 16%
Curfew in a major French city by...? Polymarket · December 31 26%
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page