France Is Not Headed for Martial Law
Source: Polymarket market “France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?”
very unlikely (4%)
Leading outcome
December 31 4%
Very unlikely · B
24h move
0.0 pts
December 31
Traded 24h
$86K
$86K all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
5
3/5 markets agree
Where the money stands
December 31
4%
0.0
November 15
3%
0.0
October 31
1%
0.0
Source markets for this story
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
Polymarket · December 31 4%
Paris curfew announced by...?
Polymarket · October 31 8% · -3.5 24h
Macron out by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2026 4%
France declares state of emergency by...?
Polymarket · December 31 16%
Curfew in a major French city by...?
Polymarket · December 31 26%
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