Curiosities

Trump Will Invoke Fentanyl and Deportation at His Kentucky Rally

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?”

unlikely (15%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Leading outcome Maduro 15% Unlikely · C probably not → unlikely
24h move ▼ 15.0 pts Maduro
Traded 24h $23K $35K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-17

Where the money stands

Maduro 15% ▼ 15.0
KFC / Chicken 14% ▼ 13.1
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Curiosities

Curiosities

OpenAI's Next Millennium Prize Breakthrough Is a Dead Heat Through 2027

a coin flip (47%)

Having collapsed from a near-certain call just five weeks ago to a coin flip, this market's extreme volatility reveals how little anyone — including those closest to the technology — can reliably forecast the pace of frontier AI research.

Updated 3:04 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $43K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 39 days range 93% (37d ago) – 46% (3d ago) leaning yes → a coin flip 8 tier changes
Curiosities

The U.S. Is Very Unlikely to Confirm Alien Life Before 2027

very unlikely (3%)

Whatever is driving public curiosity about disclosure right now, the money is deeply unmoved — nearly $71 million staked here says official confirmation before 2027 is a near-certainty not to happen, treating the whole conversation as noise rather than signal.

Updated 3:52 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $31K markets read 2 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 81 days trending in today's news
Curiosities

Kanye West Will Not Perform in Russia Before November

virtually impossible (0%)

That the question was ever seriously entertained — reaching nearly even odds just weeks ago — says more about the anxious, anything-seems-possible mood of the moment than about any real likelihood; the money has now closed the book entirely.

Updated 8:20 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $47K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 55 days range 58% (51d ago) – 0% (3d ago) trending in today's news 10 tier changes