World

A Riyadh Airport Closure Is Now a Dead Heat Through October

By Priced In News Staff

a coin flip (48%)

Leading outcome October 31 48% A coin flip · A unlikely → a coin flip

24h move ▲ 31.0 pts October 31

Traded 24h $23K $27K all time

Resolves by 2026-11-01

Where the money stands

October 31 48% ▲ 31.0

October 15 36% ▲ 26.0

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · October 12 95% · +0.9 24h

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket · March 31 66% · -3.5 24h

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Kalshi · Before Jan 20, 2029 22% · -1.0 24h

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 16% · +1.0 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 1%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Polymarket · Yes 75% · +2.5 24h

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Polymarket · December 31 6%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31 30% · -9.5 24h

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 4%

Iran full airspace closure by...? Polymarket · December 31 26% · +2.5 24h

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket · December 31 14% · -1.0 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 16% · -1.0 24h

Riyadh airport closed to departures for 24 hours by...? Polymarket · October 31 48% · +31.0 24h

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Polymarket · Yes 6% · -2.0 24h

Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 22%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Polymarket · December 31 6%