U.S.a real race

Douglas Ruas Is Headed for a Narrow Win in Rio's Governor Race

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory”

Ruas <5%: probably not (28%)
Leading outcome Ruas <5% 28% Probably not · B venues agree
24h move ▲ 8.5 pts Ruas <5%
Traded 24h $9K $14K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-26
Source markets 5 5 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Ruas <5% 28% ▲ 8.5
Ruas 5-10% 23% ▼ 8.5
Ruas 10-15% 13% ▼ 9.0
Ruas 20%+ 6% ▼ 13.2
Ruas 15-20% 5% ▼ 8.1
Paes wins 3% ▼ 1.2

Source markets for this story

Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 86% · -2.0 24h
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% 49% · +0.5 24h
Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi · Flávio Bolsonaro 87% · -1.0 24h
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá Polymarket · Flavio Bolsonaro 86% · -7.0 24h
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory Polymarket · Ruas <5% 28% · +8.5 24h
The Money Talks — Flávio Bolsonaro Probably Wins in 2026 — and the Race Just Shifted Beneath Lula's Feet
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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