Worldodds favor Lula

Lula Increasingly Favored Among Brazilians Abroad in the Second Round

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad”

Lula: leaning yes (62%)
Leading outcome Lula 62% Leaning yes · B venues agree
24h move ▲ 7.5 pts Lula
Traded 24h $20K $31K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-26
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Lula 62% ▲ 7.5
Flavio Bolsonaro 39% ▼ 5.5

Source markets for this story

Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 85%
Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi · Flávio Bolsonaro 84% · -2.0 24h
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% 52% · +14.5 24h
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad Polymarket · Lula 62% · +7.5 24h
The Money Talks — Flávio Bolsonaro Probably Wins in 2026 — and the Race Just Shifted Beneath Lula's Feet
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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