Google Holds a Narrow Lead in the Race for AI Supremacy This Fall
Source: Polymarket market “Which company has the best AI model end of November?”
Google: leaning yes (60%)
Leading outcome
Google 60%
Leaning yes · Rising · A · tracked 7 days
peak 58% (4d ago) · low 50% (6d ago)
2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
8.0 pts
Google
Traded 24h
$36K
$187K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-01
Source markets
7
7 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Google
60%
▲
8.0
Anthropic
32%
▼
12.0
OpenAI
2%
0.4
Meta
2%
▲
0.5
SpaceXAI
0%
0.1
Z.ai
0%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Polymarket · Anthropic 48%
DeepSeek market share this week
Kalshi · Above 20.0% 98%
OpenAI market share this week
Kalshi · Above 14.1% 99%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Polymarket · Google 67% · +0.7 24h
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Kalshi · Claude 48% · -3.5 24h
Anthropic market share this week
Kalshi · Above 2.1% 99%
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Polymarket · Google 60% · +8.0 24h
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