Financeodds favor Google

Google Holds a Narrow Lead in the Race for AI Supremacy This Fall

Source: Polymarket market “Which company has the best AI model end of November?”

Google: leaning yes (60%)
Leading outcome Google 60% Leaning yes · Rising · A · tracked 7 days peak 58% (4d ago) · low 50% (6d ago) 2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 8.0 pts Google
Traded 24h $36K $187K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-01
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Google 60% ▲ 8.0
Anthropic 32% ▼ 12.0
OpenAI 2% 0.4
Meta 2% ▲ 0.5
SpaceXAI 0% 0.1
Z.ai 0% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 48%
DeepSeek market share this week Kalshi · Above 20.0% 98%
OpenAI market share this week Kalshi · Above 14.1% 99%
Which company has the best AI model end of October? Polymarket · Google 67% · +0.7 24h
Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Claude 48% · -3.5 24h
Anthropic market share this week Kalshi · Above 2.1% 99%
Which company has the best AI model end of November? Polymarket · Google 60% · +8.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page