Finance

Apple Will Release the iPhone 18 This Year

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?”

virtually certain (100%)
Leading outcome Yes 100% Virtually certain · Stable · C
24h move 0.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $21K $235K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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25 bps increase: leaning yes (64%)

What had been a coin flip is now a clear lean: the money increasingly prices a tightening cycle resuming this autumn, with no cuts expected in 2026 and a hike by October also gaining ground — a significant shift in the interest-rate outlook that puts pressure on borrowers and rate-sensitive assets.

Updated 10:06 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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AI Is Likely to Crack Another Millennium Prize Problem by End of 2027

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What had been leaning yes is now a likely conviction — the rapid repricing, concentrated on the 2027 window with OpenAI as the presumed vehicle, suggests the field now treats another formal mathematical breakthrough as a near-term expectation, not a long-shot aspiration.

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OpenAI Is Likely to Announce Another Millennium Prize Solution by End of 2027

likely (84%)

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Updated 6:05 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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traded today $50K venue Polymarket grade C trending in today's news probably not → likely